Soľ, Zastupiteľstvo Soľ, obvod 1, okrsok č. 2 (Soľ)

{
 "finding_id": "crossballot:2026:2026-OSO-C-529176-1:529176-2:15",
 "observed": {
  "15@2026-OSO-C-529176-1": 165,
  "2@2026-OSO-M-529176": 136,
  "record": {
   "10": 131,
   "11": 231,
   "12": 18,
   "13": 187,
   "14": 72,
   "15": 165,
   "16": 183,
   "17": 133,
   "18": 150,
   "19": 156,
   "20": 125,
   "21": 170,
   "3": 20,
   "4": 12,
   "5": 35,
   "6": 27,
   "7": 14,
   "8": 127,
   "9": 21
  }
 },
 "expected": {
  "15@2026-OSO-C-529176-1": {
   "mean": 51.2,
   "n": 482,
   "p": 0.0011967064997743747,
   "t": 4.3
  },
  "2@2026-OSO-M-529176": {
   "mean": 304.7,
   "n": 480,
   "p": 0.00309774841227409,
   "t": -4.71
  }
 },
 "correction": null,
 "alternatives": [
  {
   "cand_no": 15,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-C-529176-1",
   "log10_bf": 2.43,
   "mechanism": "row_shift"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 15,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-C-529176-1",
   "log10_bf": 2.31,
   "mechanism": "digit_ins"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 15,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-C-529176-1",
   "log10_bf": 2.12,
   "mechanism": "swap"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 15,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-C-529176-1",
   "log10_bf": 1.92,
   "mechanism": "transfer"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 15,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-C-529176-1",
   "log10_bf": 0.47,
   "mechanism": "digit_sub"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 2,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-M-529176",
   "log10_bf": -0.06,
   "mechanism": "digit_sub"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 2,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-M-529176",
   "log10_bf": -0.75,
   "mechanism": "transfer"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 2,
   "contest_id": "2026-OSO-M-529176",
   "log10_bf": -1.42,
   "mechanism": "row_shift"
  }
 ],
 "notes": {
  "best_log10_lr": 3.201,
  "corrected_p_min": 0.044,
  "correction_withheld": "posterior_error_prob 0.0027 < 0.5: the published value is at least as likely as the hypothesis",
  "corroboration": {
   "complement": {
    "cand_no": 6,
    "expected": 311.2,
    "observed": 27,
    "resid": -2.54
   },
   "n_complementary": 7,
   "other_persons_other_records": {
    "max_abs_t": 2.75,
    "n": 6,
    "n_abs_t_gt3": 0
   },
   "other_persons_same_record": {
    "explained_by_correction": 0,
    "max_abs_t": null,
    "n": 0,
    "n_abs_t_gt3": 0
   },
   "pattern": "isolated",
   "within_expected": 137.9,
   "within_resid": 0.2
  },
  "decoy_log10_bf": {
   "digit": 1.033,
   "swap": 1.348
  },
  "impact": {
   "entered": [
    9,
    14,
    17
   ],
   "exited": [
    5,
    11,
    25
   ],
   "tie_after": false
  },
  "log10_bf": 2.427,
  "log10_bf_any_error_cell": {
   "15@2026-OSO-C-529176-1": 1.852,
   "2@2026-OSO-M-529176": 1.59
  },
  "log10_specificity": -1.196,
  "lost_values_cand_nos": [
   3
  ],
  "partner_precinct": null,
  "person_id": "2026:529176:matasovsky:michal:48",
  "posterior_error_prob": 0.0027,
  "proposed_correction": [
   {
    "cand_no": 3,
    "estimated": true,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 482
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 4,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 20
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 5,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 12
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 6,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 35
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 7,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 27
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 8,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 14
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 9,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 127
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 10,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 21
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 11,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 131
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 12,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 231
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 13,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 18
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 14,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 187
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 15,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 72
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 16,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 165
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 17,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 183
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 18,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 133
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 19,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 150
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 20,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 156
   },
   {
    "cand_no": 21,
    "precinct_id": "529176-2",
    "votes": 125
   }
  ],
  "single_mark": false,
  "top_variants": [
   {
    "log10_lr": 3.2,
    "values": {
     "10": 21,
     "11": 131,
     "12": 231,
     "13": 18,
     "14": 187,
     "15": 72,
     "16": 165,
     "17": 183,
     "18": 133,
     "19": 150,
     "20": 156,
     "21": 125,
     "3": null,
     "4": 20,
     "5": 12,
     "6": 35,
     "7": 27,
     "8": 14,
     "9": 127
    }
   },
   {
    "log10_lr": 3.15,
    "values": {
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     "11": 131,
     "12": 231,
     "13": 18,
     "14": 187,
     "15": 72,
     "16": 165,
     "17": 183,
     "18": 133,
     "19": 150,
     "20": 156,
     "21": 125,
     "22": 170,
     "3": null,
     "4": 20,
     "5": 12,
     "6": 35,
     "7": 27,
     "8": 14,
     "9": 127
    }
   },
   {
    "log10_lr": 3.12,
    "values": {
     "10": 21,
     "11": 131,
     "12": 231,
     "13": 18,
     "14": 187,
     "15": 72,
     "16": 165,
     "17": 183,
     "18": 133,
     "19": 150,
     "20": 156,
     "21": 125,
     "5": null,
     "6": 35,
     "7": 27,
     "8": 14,
     "9": 127
    }
   }
  ]
 },
 "outcome_detail": {
  "withheld_correction": true,
  "withheld_reason": "posterior_error_prob 0.0027 < 0.5: the published value is at least as likely as the hypothesis",
  "entered": [
   9,
   14,
   17
  ],
  "exited": [
   5,
   11,
   25
  ]
 }
}