Košice - Sídlisko KVP, Zastupiteľstvo Košice - Sídlisko KVP, obvod 1, okrsok č. 1 (Košice - Sídlisko KVP)

{
 "finding_id": "record_shortfall:2022:2022-OSO-C-599883-1:599883-1:-",
 "observed": {
  "3": 57,
  "4": 108,
  "8": 48,
  "9": 55
 },
 "expected": {
  "3": {
   "mean": 115.2
  },
  "4": {
   "mean": 166.5
  },
  "8": {
   "mean": 63.2
  },
  "9": {
   "mean": 100.7
  }
 },
 "correction": [
  {
   "cand_no": 1,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 35
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 2,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 125
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 3,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 90
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 4,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 170
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 5,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 35
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 6,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 95
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 7,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 85
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 8,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 76
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 9,
   "estimated": true,
   "precinct_id": "599883-1",
   "votes": 87
  }
 ],
 "alternatives": [
  {
   "hypothesis": "reference_records_wrong",
   "why": "the shortfall is relative to the other ballots; it is this record's only if those agree with each other"
  }
 ],
 "notes": {
  "S": -8.591,
  "S_by_kind": {
   "council_city": -8.824,
   "regional_council": -6.903
  },
  "block": null,
  "impact": {
   "changed": false,
   "entered": [],
   "exited": [],
   "tie_after": false
  },
  "imputed": true,
  "imputed_cand_nos": [
   1,
   2,
   3,
   4,
   5,
   6,
   7,
   8,
   9
  ],
  "linked_scale": 0.6014,
  "m": 4,
  "mpb_rel": 0.6338041165245787,
  "n_kinds_short": 2,
  "null": {
   "loc": 0.06794881311059642,
   "nu": 7.653205229446001,
   "scale": 1.383677404558978,
   "stratum": "council|m<10"
  },
  "record_scale": 0.6338,
  "target_kind": "council",
  "valid_share_rel": 1.0004083706013007
 }
}

{
 "finding_id": "crossballot:2022:2022-OSO-C-599883-1:599883-1:4",
 "observed": {
  "13@2022-OSO-C-599981-13": 149,
  "35@2022-OSK-C-802": 141,
  "4@2022-OSO-C-599883-1": 108,
  "record": {
   "4": 108
  }
 },
 "expected": {
  "13@2022-OSO-C-599981-13": {
   "mean": 120.0,
   "n": 334,
   "p": 0.027949668298777226,
   "t": 2.21
  },
  "35@2022-OSK-C-802": {
   "mean": 131.9,
   "n": 332,
   "p": 0.4099546801913076,
   "t": 0.7
  },
  "4@2022-OSO-C-599883-1": {
   "mean": 173.9,
   "n": 324,
   "p": 0.0005999833155401746,
   "t": -4.93
  }
 },
 "correction": null,
 "alternatives": [
  {
   "cand_no": 4,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599883-1",
   "log10_bf": 1.02,
   "mechanism": "digit_sub"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 13,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599981-13",
   "log10_bf": 0.8,
   "mechanism": "digit_sub"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 13,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599981-13",
   "log10_bf": 0.57,
   "mechanism": "transfer"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 4,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599883-1",
   "log10_bf": 0.57,
   "mechanism": "transfer"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 13,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599981-13",
   "log10_bf": 0.05,
   "mechanism": "swap"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 35,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSK-C-802",
   "log10_bf": -0.28,
   "mechanism": "digit_sub"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 35,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSK-C-802",
   "log10_bf": -0.54,
   "mechanism": "transfer"
  },
  {
   "cand_no": 4,
   "contest_id": "2022-OSO-C-599883-1",
   "log10_bf": -1.9,
   "mechanism": "row_shift"
  }
 ],
 "notes": {
  "best_log10_lr": 1.715,
  "corrected_p_min": 0.8124,
  "correction_withheld": "posterior_error_prob 0.00031 < 0.5: the published value is at least as likely as the hypothesis",
  "corroboration": {
   "n_complementary": 0,
   "other_persons_other_records": {
    "max_abs_t": 2.79,
    "n": 33,
    "n_abs_t_gt3": 0
   },
   "other_persons_same_record": {
    "explained_by_correction": 0,
    "max_abs_t": 4.34,
    "n": 3,
    "n_abs_t_gt3": 2
   },
   "pattern": "record_wide",
   "within_expected": 126.2,
   "within_resid": -1.38
  },
  "decoy_log10_bf": {
   "digit": 1.171,
   "swap": -4.697
  },
  "impact": {
   "entered": [],
   "exited": [],
   "tie_after": false
  },
  "log10_bf": 1.018,
  "log10_bf_any_error_cell": {
   "13@2022-OSO-C-599981-13": 0.515,
   "35@2022-OSK-C-802": -0.87,
   "4@2022-OSO-C-599883-1": 0.799
  },
  "log10_specificity": 0.219,
  "lost_values_cand_nos": [],
  "partner_precinct": null,
  "person_id": "2022:599981:matousek:roman:45",
  "posterior_error_prob": 0.0003,
  "proposed_correction": [
   {
    "cand_no": 4,
    "precinct_id": "599883-1",
    "votes": 168
   }
  ],
  "single_mark": false,
  "top_variants": [
   {
    "log10_lr": 1.71,
    "values": {
     "4": 168
    }
   },
   {
    "log10_lr": 1.62,
    "values": {
     "4": 158
    }
   },
   {
    "log10_lr": 1.58,
    "values": {
     "4": 178
    }
   }
  ]
 },
 "outcome_detail": {
  "withheld_correction": true,
  "withheld_reason": "posterior_error_prob 0.00031 < 0.5: the published value is at least as likely as the hypothesis",
  "entered": [],
  "exited": []
 }
}